Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.207982 0.241940 0.279767 0.325044 0.377795 0.437353 0.509756
2025-02-16 0.154361 0.199228 0.254669 0.328300 0.423694 0.543346 0.705223
2025-02-23 0.124084 0.171962 0.235481 0.326102 0.452427 0.622840 0.871171
2025-03-02 0.101424 0.148892 0.215602 0.316473 0.465726 0.679386 1.010248
2025-03-09 0.089813 0.138610 0.210709 0.325392 0.504147 0.773670 1.213875
2025-03-16 0.078875 0.127262 0.202007 0.326391 0.529479 0.850226 1.399688
2025-03-23 0.071142 0.119536 0.197391 0.332411 0.562440 0.941519 1.620008
2025-03-30 0.062464 0.108923 0.186500 0.326231 0.573771 0.997976 1.788532
2025-04-06 0.055750 0.100646 0.178267 0.323127 0.589322 1.062551 1.978607
2025-04-13 0.050625 0.094435 0.172705 0.323757 0.611118 1.140048 2.201494
2025-04-20 0.048118 0.092622 0.174681 0.338242 0.659958 1.272313 2.544690
2025-04-27 0.045558 0.090353 0.175462 0.350393 0.705594 1.403649 2.903124
2025-05-04 0.042699 0.087245 0.174453 0.359294 0.746760 1.533015 3.279245
2025-05-11 0.039483 0.083035 0.170806 0.362464 0.776823 1.644224 3.634198
2025-05-18 0.036095 0.078023 0.164889 0.360039 0.794582 1.731695 3.949417
2025-05-25 0.032367 0.071816 0.155721 0.349391 0.792932 1.776972 4.175855
2025-06-01 0.030767 0.070060 0.155844 0.359255 0.838333 1.931694 4.677159
2025-06-08 0.028631 0.066831 0.152333 0.360360 0.863606 2.043630 5.091975
2025-06-15 0.027101 0.064804 0.151276 0.367017 0.902776 2.192754 5.619092
2025-06-22 0.024810 0.060701 0.144937 0.360183 0.908185 2.261309 5.951815
2025-06-29 0.022958 0.057442 0.140222 0.356749 0.921615 2.351247 6.353035
2025-07-06 0.021518 0.055034 0.137291 0.357446 0.945703 2.471132 6.851704
2025-07-13 0.021023 0.054967 0.140151 0.373466 1.012110 2.709227 7.710245